Dynamic Trend Profile

fabrizio Wrote:SO SO...

almost bingo

fabrizio Wrote:sgc-mac

4 times rrr?

fabrizio Wrote:Tate-lon
Tms-par

mmmmmmhhhhh

fabrizio Wrote:Tate-lon
Tms-par

once more a great return

fabrizio Wrote:-------------------

mmmmmmmhhh

fabrizio Wrote:banca pop italiana

bingo

fabrizio Wrote:----------------------------

I glad for this mid tgt, but not satisfied...

it could be defined a good mix of timing, luck, and power of DT
jolly good bravo fjf

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fabrizio Wrote:almost bingo

MMMM...........

I would be interested to see how Euro markets differ in tone vs US. If not too much trouble could you please add above to your chart postings? Personally, I am not comfortable entering trades without confirmations from Group, Sector and some overall market indicators. What are you seeing from either DT or some other mechanism that provides some comfort for you? Also, my success ratio drops sharply without positive DT confirmations noted above. Am I mssing something from your perspective.

When US market trends vs oscillates my success rate is about 70%. In contrast, when markets oscillate my success is at best a coin toss.

Thanks, Jon

cjrsouth Wrote:I would be interested to see how Euro markets differ in tone vs US. If not too much trouble could you please add above to your chart postings? Personally, I am not comfortable entering trades without confirmations from Group, Sector and some overall market indicators. What are you seeing from either DT or some other mechanism that provides some comfort for you? Also, my success ratio drops sharply without positive DT confirmations noted above. Am I mssing something from your perspective.

When US market trends vs oscillates my success rate is about 70%. In contrast, when markets oscillate my success is at best a coin toss.

Thanks, Jon

Jon

I'm not sure I got the whole sense of your post.
However:

• this is exactly what you ask me: so You should start from HERE:--->http://forums.dynamictrend.com/showthrea...294&page=3

and here http://forums.dynamictrend.com/showthread.php?t=254

1. I am unable to post ALL the TOP BOTTOM IMAGES, sorry
2. One think I tried to explain many and many times ( and its VERY simple) is that EU REPLICATE SPX. Period.
3. As said some equities are under pressure and are waiting just to "spring up" since their supersectors are TRENDING
4. everyday I know wich sectors are best advancing and worst advancing: I base my judgement most on that. Indeed if AUTOMOBOILE are top trending in that moment I do not trust them so much.......there would certainly be a rotation but i prefer to stay away.
5. I follow my geometrical tech. approach: XABCD but is not shown in the charts......( Marc knows what I mean)
6. The merit goes very OFTEN in STOCKS ALL to DT: scanner picks up among the 600 and profile let me see the structure and I make my analysis.

I take the freedom to add this: in physics there is no such a concept as "sideways" : it all depends by the perspective: AKA by the TF. what is totally not moving on 60 min is hell of movement on a very lower TF......

So this moment is peculiar: we stopped at 50pct from the april 2005 LOW. THAT is a TREMENDOUSLY strong support . below there is nothing to hold prices.
Smart M knows it. and bulls will fight like devils to keep it above , afloat.

As said they need a MOB to break above : the impulse will start to push it up and consolidate . than they will pour huge streams of liquidity to keep up : they need to show results and their bonuses and JOBS are at stake.

But bears know that there are not so many reasons to be happy: you know them , and I broken down many times. So they will fight like devil taking ambushes at tech. levels to push it down.



Let me know if I forgot something

PS: DO NOT FORGET LUCK AND TIMING!!!!!! Ask marcus what one of his chart in 2003 and luck yield me.....

Fabrizio:

When I review your referenced posts, it appears that you are not necessarily looking for strong RF in room below trade room. Further you are basing heavy emphasis on technical analysis. I also follow Group Rotation & can readily see "strong" or "weak" sectors.

My challenge is that my technical analysis with Advanced GET does not provide me same level of comfort and trading success that I achieve when I heavily rely on DT with confirmations of "trend" with daily & hourly GET oscillators for 5,17; 10,70; and 5,35. Unless I am missing some perspective, above appears to be the difference in our trading styles.

Lastly, the lowest room where I have trading success (again 70%) with my options is DD. Rooms below this level do not provide enough of a profit potential to offset risk of loss, spread between bid/ask, slippage in option Delta vs stock price, and some profit . While the intermediate rooms may have durations of 1/2 to 4 - 8 days, I have exited some positions when price targets or stop loss is hit in severa hours and in some instances in 30 minutes!!

Regards, Jon

[quote=cjrsouth]Fabrizio:

When I review your referenced posts, it appears that you are not necessarily looking for strong RF in room below trade room.

CORRECT, I DO CARE A LOT OF THE CURRENT AND SUPERIOR PHASE ROOMS RF, WHILST I CAN AFFORD EVEN A 2.5 STARS BUT WITH A 14 RF AND A 1 RI

Further you are basing heavy emphasis on technical analysis.
150 PCT CORRECT, BUT MORE THAN THAT I SHOULD SAY THAT WAHT COUNT FORV ME IS STRUCTURE. I DO NOT TRY TO DEVINE THE FUTURE AT ALL , BUT I CAN MAKE SCENARIOS IN TERMS OF STRUCTURE BASED ON GEO AND RATIOS. (SEE YEN 3D OR WHEAT 3D, DXC 3D OR OTHERS) I TRADE WHAT I SEE NOT WHAT I IMAGINE . IN THIS SENSE LET'S SAY I CREATE AN ARRAY OF SCENARIOS OF HOW THE PRICE COULD MOVE ....BUT I NEVER EVER PRETEND TO DEVINE THE FUTURE.

I also follow Group Rotation & can readily see "strong" or "weak" sectors.
I AM SURE OF THIS SINCE BEING YOURSELF AN OPTION TRADER YOU NEED TO FIND DIRECTIONALITY AT THE RIGHT MOMENT IN ORDER TO PAY CHEAP.

My challenge is that my technical analysis with Advanced GET does not provide me same level of comfort and trading success that I achieve when I heavily rely on DT with confirmations of "trend" with daily & hourly GET oscillators for 5,17; 10,70; and 5,35. Unless I am missing some perspective, above appears to be the difference in our trading styles.

WELL THIS IS A POINT THAT - IMHO- YOU SHOULD IN SOME WAY "SOLVE". GOING BY THE BOOK YOU ALWAYS LOOK FOR THE END OF A W4 OR THE END OF A W5 ..... BUT STRUCTURE MAY VARY ALONG ITS WAY..... (A W 5 LARGELY EXCEEDING 2.62 PCT A W 1 TO 3 IS SOMETHING DIFFERENT .... MAYBE A NEW STRUCTURE )

DT IS INCREDIBLE, IS WHAT IMHO MOST ADVANCED EXISTS ON TE MARKET BUT STILL IS A SOFT AND HE WHO HAS THE WHOLE PICTURE IS THE OPERATOR.

EXAMPLE DT DOES NOT TAKE IN CONSIDERATION (IT COULD [MAYBE?] WITH A "FILTER" BUT DOES NOT ) THE CORRELATIONS: PER EXAMPLE GOLD IS NEGATIVELY CORRELATED WITH DXC AND POSITIVELY WITH EURO. THE FACT IS THAT SOMETIMES THOSE CORRELATIONS DISAPPEAR.....OR IN OTHER WORDS GOLD "DETACH" HIMSELF FROM THE CURRENCIES

Lastly, the lowest room where I have trading success (again 70%) with my options is DD. Rooms below this level do not provide enough of a profit potential to offset risk of loss, spread between bid/ask, slippage in option Delta vs stock price, and some profit . While the intermediate rooms may have durations of 1/2 to 4 - 8 days, I have exited some positions when price targets or stop loss is hit in severa hours and in some instances in 30 minutes!!

I PERFECTLY UNDERSTAND YOU AND MY POINT WAS "ACADEMIC" NOT DIRECTED CERTAINLY TOWARD AN OPTION TRADER IN WHICH THE DECISONAL ELEMENTS AND OPERATIVITY ARE NOT BY 99. 9 PCT INTRADAY .

WE CAN SOLVE A WRONG IMPULSIVE DIRECTION TAKEN SITUATION ON FUTURES WITH A SAR , YOU CANNOT BY ASSUMPTION

HOPE YOU CAN "SQUARE" YOUR ISSUE. BEST SOLUTION IS , BELIEVE ME , STAY OUT.....
OR BETTER BE SORRY TO BE OUT THAN BE SORRY TO BE IN ......

IF I CAN BE HELPFULL TO YOU IN SOME WAY LET ME KNOW IT EVEN IN PVT.

fabrizio Wrote:almost bingo

missing few cents

and mid tgt is taken away.

very sensitive to the double top.
maybe is time to get the available profits at mid tgt

.............................

hasn't been triggered so no risk to monitor it and re setup....