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Full Version: EUROPE STOXX Groups - Rotation
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DATA FILE: Eurostocks Sectors-20070420.xls
(cannot post EXCEL files regrettably - but the tabular data from the PDF perhaps can be entered directly into Excel as a "Table copy")

RATIONALE: We believe Group Rotation will help us understand the market conditions to look for better stock selection to trade and to hold over longer periods than individual trades.

APPROACH: We track the Group Rotation for EUROSTOXX 600 stocks using the Sum of the RF values in the highest rooms. We compare the changes in the SUM of the RF values in the Top 3 Rooms (PA+PB+PC) and Top 4 Rooms (PA+PB+PC+SD) with time for the 18 EURO STOXX Groups. The table provides the summation data.

PLAN: We plan to take the next few months to see how this approach assists with our preparation for the DTP trade setups and the profitability of the trading.

PENDING TABLE IMAGE (The Table image is trying to be fixed to meet size limitations of DTP forum and still be useful to post so you can read it - we are not that adept at this rather old and quite cumbersome method of posting images to a forum).

In the meantime - if you open the PDF file, it has 4 pages and Page 1 has the DATA TABLE. On the table, the 3 Top rooms (sum and % change history [we started with 16 March 2007 data]) is at the top. The Top 4 rooms sum and % changes data are on the bottom. Pages 2 and 3 are the graphs of the RF sum changes with time for the 18 sectors for the 3 and 4 rooms respectively. Page 4 is the Group Rotation diagram itself from the Data FILE date (See top) with the groups shown as ranked for this date.

WHAT USE IS IT?? In terms of how to use this data for assessing rotation in and out of the sectors, it would seem that the 4 rooms data would shows the change over time more quickly as the RF value for all rooms is weighted equally in this set of calculations.

Smile Any feedback or suggestions would be appreciated. Otherwise - we hope this is summary of the RF data from DTP will be of value and use and make our trading performance improve.



NOTES: ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
1) TO DTP: If this RF data were available in an excel format - that would allow us to be more efficient in tracking this.)

2) NOTE RE RANKING OF THE 18 GROUPS:
Ranking of the groups as of a certain date is done in the 2nd from the right column of the DATA TABLE. This ranking is based on the graphic of the Group Rotation - as shown on Page 4 of the PDF file. It does not necessarily correspond to the ranking if using just the RF totals of the 3 or 4 rooms. The drawing clearly points out a higher ranking when the PC to PA RFs decline from i.e. 15 to 13 than when they increase from 13 to 15 respectively. Thus the weekly rank of the groups is effectively going to weight the order of the strength in the top 3 rooms.
UPDATE: 27 April 2007

GRAPHICS now on post - better quality attached in PDF.
Contact author for more info if needed (by private message for example)

Reference thread #1 post: http://forums.dynamictrend.com/showthread.php?t=527

Weekly perspective (See Graph of Top 4 rooms and last week of each sectors Group Rotation):
  • Leadership: Autos, Basic Resoiurces, Chemicals, Food & Beverage, Utilities
  • Strong: Chemicals
  • Increased strength: Food & Beverage, Banks, Healthcare
  • Pullbacks: Utilities, Industrials, Insurance, Basic Resources, Financials,
  • New weakness in Financial Services and Media
  • Continuing Weakness in Telecom
Monthly Perspective (See Graph of Top 3 Rooms & Sector History):
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DATA FILE: Eurostocks Sectors-20070427.xls (Regrettably - the forum formatting does not allow EXCEL files to be loaded or this would be much faster to do)
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SOURCE: http://www.stoxx.com/download/reports/20...200704.pdf

This shows the recent monthly relative performance of the 18 "supersectors' in a variety of settings.
We thought it might be useful to have this perspective as there are many international stocks as ADRs on the US exchanges and also - due to the multi-diversity of the audience in the DTP RT session.
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STOXX.com has highlighted the BEST and WORST Monthly and Year-to-Date sectors for all the regions that they routinely survey.

Ranking the sector monthly performance is easy. It is as in the lower picture for Europe as of April 07.
The data for this table - as taken from the Stoxx.com PDF file are also in the attached DOC file.

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CAVEAT: There are certain stocks in the sectors and for an accurate understanding of what stocks are in the European sectors, one would be able to know the exact stock components from the following site (for which access might require registration but registration does not cost money - just your valuable time to do it!!).

NOTE re current DTP EUROSTOXX COMPONENTS: Our count last weekend indicates that there are about 564 stocks on the DTP European platform. There were 28 changes to the ESX 600 made in March 2007 that also are not reflected in the current DTP selection of stocks.

DTP is working on updating the list as of 1 May, 2006. We have received feedback from DTP that they are in the process of updating the list of stocks on the European DTP Platform so that it will be soon (we hope in the very near future) be in line with the current Eurostoxx 600 components.

ESX 600 components are updated quarterly (last March 2007 and next June 2007). Naturally, it is a bit arduous to be making changes every quarter but - that can be expected as it "comes with the territory".

The components accurately identified for the ESX 600 components are found at the stoxx.com website which is public info. [url=http://www.stoxx.com/download/reports/2007/mr_component_sectors_200704.xls]http://www.stoxx.com/download/reports/2007/mr_component_sectors_200704.xls


..........
(NOTE: The strange and rather "stingy" storage space restrictions which limit the size of DOC files to 196 kb make it impractical to post better information without doing a lot more work. Sure would be nice to increase the size of the DOC files - to the same as are permitted for all the other file types - to almost 500 KB for example)
EUROPE STOXX Groups - Rotation - UPDATE : 2007 05 04

GRAPHICS now on post.
Contact author for more info if needed (by private message for example)

Reference thread #1 post: http://forums.dynamictrend.com/showthread.php?t=527

Weekly perspective (See Graph of Top 4 rooms and last week of each sectors Group Rotation):
Monthly Perspective (See Graph of Top 3 Rooms & Sector History):
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DATA FILE: Eurostocks Sectors-20070504.xls
(Regrettably - forum does not allow EXCEL files (nor .doc or .pdf files greater than 200 kb) or this would be much more useful and informative for others - and also a lot faster to do)
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The ESX 600 is made up of the top 600 stocks on the EURO indices as defined at STOXX.com. They change every quarter. On June 19, 2007 3 will be added and 3 will be dropped. In March 07, 14 replaced 14 dropped. You can sign up for a free subscription at www.stoxx.com and find out all about this world of changing targets.

BOTTOM LINE: As stated a bit earlier, DTP is currently updating the ESX600 list. They plan to have that done soon. When the update to the stock components is made in each of the 18 European Supersectors, we will have a profile for each of the stocks in each of the official 18 Supersectors that will reflect "fairly closely" the ones on the official list. Right now there are about 60 stocks on the DTP list that are not in the Stoxx 600 list and there are about 100 stocks on the STOXX list that are not in the DTP platform. DTP has promised this is a priority as there are quite a few of us intereste in maintaining this ESX600 list current for trading.

For this reason, however, we have put the ESX600 rotation assessment on hold until the update is completed at DTP. With about 25% of the stocks incorrect, that could provide a stilted view of the ROTATION in the sectors and possibly in the the STOXX 600 INDEX itself.
Good luck with the changes DTP - we are looking forward to seeing the newest version as 'soon' as you can manage it. Thanks
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